When it comes to junk science and the interpretation of it, I have news for you: the wheels have officially and totally come off the wagon.
A new study published in Journal of Applied Psychology is calling for a revival of research into possible test bias in standardized testing. A topline read of this new report offers some truly startling and impressive looking information:
Results based on 15 billion 925 million individual samples of scores and more than 8 trillion 662 million individual scores raise questions about the established conclusion that test bias in preemployment testing is nonexistent and, if it exists, it only occurs regarding intercept-based differences that favor minority group members.

Wow, more than eight trillion scores examined. This must be one heckofa study to have looked at all that information. The researchers used what they called “a powerful and sensitive methodology,” in search of test bias where heretofore no one has been able to find it. A provocative premise indeed.
In order to support this premise, the researchers engaged in some very sophisticated mathematics, like this item – one of my favorite passages – from page 653:

There’s page after page of this sort of language attempting to convince people that the reason people cannot find test bias is because the way they look for bias is biased in the first place.
Then there’s media coverage of this report which has thankfully been limited to only one of the usual suspects, Scott Jaschick, the well-renowned Writer-of-All-Things-Related-to-Standardized-Tests-As-Long-As-They-Say-The-Tests-Suck-And-Even-If-They-Don’t-I’m-Going-to-Write-It-That-Way-Anyhow.
Jaschick’s anti-testing biases have been well documented for a long time but after reading through his August 2 article on this absurd study, one has to wonder whether his emotions run deeper than mere bias and lie closer to simple hatred.
In Jaschick’s classic facts-be-damned fashion, he powerfully asserts in the second paragraph of his screed:
But a major new research project – led by a scholar who favors standardized testing – has just concluded that the methods used by the College Board (and just about every other testing entity for either admissions or employment testing) are seriously flawed.
Sorry folks, that’s not what the research concludes. Reading the research and writing honestly about it reveals that the entire report isn’t about analyzing data. The research study claims that because the ACT and SAT don’t look for test bias the same way these researchers did, the tests may have a bias but nobody can find it.
Huh?

Okay, fine. Let’s take this at face value for a moment. But first, we should ask how the researchers conducted their analysis in the first place to determine whether there might be bias in a test. I think the best way to sum up this entire research report lies in the seven-word lead sentence under the heading ‘Limitations and Suggestions for Future Research on Test-Bias Assessment’:
Our results are based on simulated data.
I swear I am not making this up. It’s located on page 672 of the Journal of Applied Psychology issue carrying the report.
So these researchers are trying to ding standardized college testing for not finding bias in their tests because the testing organizations analyze real data like test scores, grade point averages and so forth instead of just simulating data. This is positively Orwellian!
Not only does Jaschick ignore the fact that the study on which he’s reporting uses admittedly “simulated data,” he goes on to neglect the fact that the study involved pre-employment testing, not academic testing. Jaschick’s biases run so deep he doesn’t even bother to note what the study’s authors themselves say about their research:
Our report points to the need to revive test bias research in preemployment testing.
Sounds to me like Jaschick is using simulated facts just like the study used simulated data.
We’re talking about a severe case of drive-by reporting here. Jaschick blows past the initial summation of the study – that it’s relevant to pre-employment testing – but he then repeatedly ignores the many additional citations to that effect and which are listed elsewhere in the report, like this reference on page 648:
Few topics in industrial and organizational (I/O) psychology and human resource management have generated more media attention than bias in preemployment testing.
Or this one on page 649:
… we raise important questions and cast doubt about the established conclusions regarding test bias in preemployment testing and provide an alternative explanation for the consistent results reported over the past 40 years of research.

Or this one on page 650:
In this study, we raise questions and cast doubt on these established conclusions about test bias in preemployment testing based on methodological and substantive reasons.
Or this one on page 654:
… we show that researchers are more likely to conclude incorrectly that performance is overpredicted for members of the minority group when the mean minority group test score is lower than the mean majority group test score and test scores are measured with less than perfect reliability, which are normative conditions in the context of GMA and other types of preemployment testing.
Or how about this one which is the title of the report!
Revival of Test Bias Research in Preemployment Testing
I think you get my drift here, people.
Academics and university flacks desperate for some kind of media coverage to justify their increasingly tenuous positions might be cut a little bit of slack for promoting astonishingly tortured mathematical permutations and “simulated data” to allegedly show that employment test bias cannot be definitively disproved and cannot be found unless you look for it the way these researchers did with their simulated data.
But when media bias as absurd as what passes for news on the pages of Inside Higher Ed creeps into the discussion, it’s not only an embarrassment for the author and his publisher, it’s a disservice to honest, hard working educators.






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49 Comments
Progressives/Leftists, under the guise of fairness, will always find something to scream, kvetch, complain,
about when an obviously fair testing system,
shows their lack of preparedness and commitment to excellence..
And that equation is beyond belief, someone has WAY too much time on their hands…
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"The science is settled."
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So how much did this cost us?
At the end of the day, it appears that the author of this report is concluding, without actually saying it, that mathematics itself (and by extrapolation logic itself) is biased against minorities. When it gets to that point, this poor cracker says that it looks like the examiners of these tests need to do a study to check their own biases.
Change a few variables and this looks like the same equation they used to prove Man-Made Global Warming.
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Yep. But real farmers know another truth: Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered.
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Now that the Pathological Progressive Liars are done "stimulating" the economy I guess it is time for them to start 'simulating' an economy.
Umm. Scott Jaschick. When you actually find those tax revenues give us a call. Until then we in the small business world are headed back into the bunker. Tell the teachers unions we said hello. And goodbye.
"Our results are based on simulated data."
Hey. . . if it's good enough for the Obama administration . . .
Based on "the measurement-error attenuated and range restricted correlation coefficient between Y and G" – the economy is saved and in full recovery.
"Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered…."
I always thought of that in terms of the stock market…
But all seriousness aside, this standardized testing constant sniping from leftists should just be ignored, or have them submit a test they think would work, so we can all have a good laugh..
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The only stock market left is betting on whether or not you'll get a sweet position of sinecure with Obama. But I'll take the bait:
Standardized test question from the Left:
"Which macrame knot is best used in an all-natural hemp 3-d wall sculpture that seeks to depict the glories of Socialism and the privilege of serving the State while underscoring the despair of false meritocracies that discriminate against child pornographers and fail to promote a sense of universal acceptance for any and all life decisions?"
Heh. So it was just pining for the fjords of geometric calculus?
One thing we know about the universe: the science for anything has never been settled. Even physics labors under this fundamental realization.
This leads to an interesting debate: do you want a society where they have to wonder about whether or not employee applicants are being treated fairly or a society where labor is so scarce as a result of the structure of the economy that this entire issue becomes irrelevant?
Do you want a society that wonders if spending and revenues can be balanced to prevent the inevitable disaster that always has occurred in democracies or a society where these issues are no longer relevant?
Do you want a society where accountability and transparency are the unavoidable outcome in all endeavors or a society where accountability is optional and the resulting failures catastrophes we all must bear?
Simulate this!
Well that settles that, then! Who are we to question it?
…and based on simulated logic.
Come on. Standardized tests are biased. They discriminate against people who don't know the material.
Ahhh…Ummm…cabage? Am I right? Is that the answer, Rainmaker? basing anything on a "simulated" test makes about as much sense as basing a policy of taxing the life out of the American, nay, the world's economy on a computer model as the warmers would have us do. What has happened to common sense and real science?
Stupid is as stupid does…just look at j. jackson jr in Illinois. Even his peerage calls him an artculate inbicile……..
They base everything on goofy simulations as if history has nothing to offer us. The reason is simple: they are always trying to find new ways to justify or re-brand or repackage failed policies and programs. Liberalism is corruption manifest. They corrupt society so that everyone is forced to become corrupt to survive, thus making it easier and easier to justify tyranny, oppression and (finally) murder and repression. Liberals like to make excuses for the people who knew the concentration camps were there and did nothing; that is exactly what they are counting upon in the future. The more outrageous their behaviors, the more they can get away with unbelievable deceptions that sustain the corruption. Yet in the end, the corruption always eats itself and we always choose to ignore it until it is too late. My point is that we structure our economy and system of government in such ways as these corruptions no longer matter because they become structurally impossible to undertake. The way our institutions and markets are currently structured, corruption is a likely outcome and a "society of want" is what we routinely experience. My point is that we can have the exact opposite if we want that. We can have a completely different set of outcomes if that is what we decide. Right now we have decided we can't because we are too ready to believe these supposed Messiahs of government, and experts in liberty and gods of economics, and wizards of banking – all of whom benefit from our suffering. It could quite easily be different.
For instance, one of the things we hate most about our current economic society is that government spending hurts our economy in two ways: taxation reduces output and spending creates dependency. What if we changed the way we paid for government so that the way we paid for government FORCED the outcome of greater output as the automatic outcome and automatically reduced dependency upon government?
What would our people say to something like that? Yet the practicality of this (and it is quite practical) is ignored in favor of having the political argument instead (by which we continue to suffer while they argue).
The Left will whine about bias until everyone scores a big fat zero on the test. At that point, everyone will have been dragged down to the lowest common denominator and no one will be left who is smart enough to whine about bias since they won't know what it is anymore…
This is what happens when researchers start with a conclusion and insist on proving it, regardless of what the data actually shows. There seems to be quite a bit of that going on these, days. It's what happens when political correctness meets science and the science loses.
Pshaw! Anyone skilled in math can spot the error: they forgot to correctly calculate the coefficient of the secant of the mantissa.
The page 653 equation bears some resemblance to the equation used by AGW ecomaniacs who claim we'll all be stewing in our own juice by 2050. The expression in the divisor looks tailor-made to make the result go blooey if the "right" numbers are plugged in.
Ah yes, my favorite saying……….Figures can Lie and Liars can Figure!
I don't suppose it could be possible that someone could fail a test because They Are Freakin' Stupid?
No, of course not…..must be bias.
Boy, that research was a waste of time, especially with fabricated test data. Of course, there is some bias in employment testing. Depending on the job skill sought, there are tests on mechanical aptitude, math skills, reading and communications skills, typing skills, mode of dress, etc. It has nothing to do with individual bias; it has to do with validating that one can do the job.
JOAN…That too convoluted even for me…How bout these?
#1) After smoking a joint , do you
a) eat everything in the kitchen
b) engage in sexual activity alone or with an inflatible humaniod
c) read a comic book
d) all of the above
e) none of the above
#50) If 3 joimts cost $10.00, how much will 9 joints cost?
a) $20 b) $25 c) $29 d) $30 e) not enough information to determine answer..
#99.. If YOU have only $10.00 but admission to see AVATAR is $13. .How can you get in to catch the 8PM 3-D show at the Bridge with your buds.?
a) I bum the difference from a bud
b) I boost a $20 from the parking lot attendant
c) I wait for the bargain matinee tomorrow
d) I put on a disguise and pretend to be a Senior Citizen
e) I say screw it and buy 3 joints..
Now, now kiddies, don't fret, there are NO wrong answers, only what YOU FEEL is correct…
All of you will be admitted to your choice of UCLA, Berkeley, Stanford, Harvard, Columbia..
No JC's for you brainaics….
Anything to escape reality. Some people are smarter and know more than others. There's the conclusion of my exhaustive two second study.
Allowing the least common denominator to be the test of success invariably leads to mediocrity. If the less fortunate intellectually cannot compete, that is their problem not mine. I refuse to sit back and wait for the lazy or incompetent to set my or my country's goals.
By the way, where are Obama's transcripts from college and law school? Does this habitual prevaricator's refusal to be honest constitute a threat to our country? If so, he must be expeditiously removed by any means necessary.
For you negroes reading this, go get a dictionary.
Good God the authors of this report should never get another dime of research money. I can create simulated data to prove anything, it's called lying!
Being a scientist used to be an honor as was being a journalist. Some in today's crop are making the reset of us look like intellectual prostitutes. Michael Mann forced me to deny my PSU affiliation due to his corruption, how long before the rest of these sellout clowns make the rest look like charlatans?
The American Founding Fathers: Greatest Social Experiment in History
What form of government do we have? Do you really know?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DioQooFIcgE&fe
Sorry, Junk, but your problem is that you are not competent to read scientific articles that use mathematics beyond middle school level. Why don't you, say, crack open an integrated circuit and look at the wonderously complicated microcircuitry under a microscope— and make stupid critical remarks about how the Intel engineers can't make something simple that you can understand?
Random number generators are a part of almost every computer language, such as Visual Basic which is distributed by Microsoft. They have many appropriate uses, such the use that is made of them in the article on testing.
Heh. Looks like typical questions for the 6th Graders. (I was aiming for the LSATs.)
Well Joan…None of the questions are culturally biased, that is much more important than testing for competency and depth of knowledge…
The grade level matters not, as there are no wrong answers and everyone passes…Hey, it's only fair…
Didn't you at least chuckle.?????
Well, now I have seen EVERYTHING!
Look at photo #2.
It's the mathematical model for BULL$H!T
I not only chuckled, but I tittered, snerked, chortled gleefully and was otherwise humorously gratified!
)
I'm glad …My day is now complete..lol
(*)-:.
( slight bow, not quite Obama depth, and tip of my hat to you, Joan)
*a modest curtsey* and a demure smile in your direction, Drifter.
Yes, I'm done fer. Long day. Hard week ahead of me. Very rough.
See ya round these here parts later.
"…one has to wonder whether his emotions run deeper than mere bias and lie closer to simple hatred." You left out the insanity option.
and…
"So these researchers are trying to ding standardized college testing for not finding bias in their tests because the testing organizations analyze real data like test scores, grade point averages and so forth instead of just simulating data. This is positively Orwellian!"
Yes. Orwellian. Also completely stupid. Or did I leave out insane?
These sorts of studies used to be laughed off the public stage. Where is our shepherd's crook?
Standardized tests are inherently unfair!!!
On an unrelated note, I've been wondering: What the heck is a preposition?
That's something you do at a bar and get slapped for, I think so.
In discussing the entire question as to why Africans and Hispanics score lower on standardized tests than Europeans and Northeast Asians, academics will go to extreme lengths to not talk about the fundamental reason: differences in IQ among these groups!
It's nice to know which bandwagon all the Global Warming alarmists jumped on.
Mark Twain said, there are lies, damned lies and statistics.
Some will see this comment as racist, but it's not intended to be, it's simply the absolute truth. It's time we stopped acting like it doesn't matter. The simple answer: Yes, there is testing bias, but maybe not what you think. This happened almost 20 years ago. Maybe they don't do it anymore.
In New Orleans a white nursing student was handed a test which she proceeded to place in front of her. The black professor told her that the tests were different to prevent cheating and that she was to hand that test to the black student seated down from her. At break, the white students were asking about questions they had seen on the test concerning inorganic chemistry. The black student that got the "special" test said she had no such questions but wanted to know what the others put down for the following: How many pall bearers are there in a traditional funeral? Of course, the white students didn't have questions like that on their exam.
This isn't too cost effective, but it would eliminate the whole testing bias thing.
Take the prospective Rhodes Scholar 9or whatever). Make them design a bridge. Build it. Make them drive over it every morning. If they don't fall int he drink, hey, maybe they are kind of bright.
Voodoo testing.
8 trilion tests? so several billion people took over 1,000 tests?
SAT, ACT and employment testing are incredibly different.
Let's face it, we all know that it is just plain racist to make certain people take tests. Thus, all tests must be abolished or we will never become a post-racial society.
exactly and this manipulation of fact is an overwhelmingly precedent problem today
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